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Block E · Derivatives

‹ NadirAlpha financial markets handbook: overview

Independent NadirAlpha working reference. Product and feature names mentioned are trademarks of their respective owners. No investment advice.

Derivatives derive their value from an underlying; they shift risks between market participants; the same instrument can hedge or speculate, what matters is the offsetting position in the portfolio.

59 · Futures

Exchange-traded, standardized forward transactions with daily margin settlement via a central counterparty.

Fast, cheap steering of allocations (equity beta, duration) without moving cash holdings; hedging.

High liquidity; hardly any counterparty risk (clearing); low costs.

Leverage; margin calls; roll costs.

Underestimating the contract value; one future moves a multiple of the posted margin.

146 · Duration management & bond laddering · 163 · Hedging with derivatives

60 · Forwards

Individually agreed, over-the-counter (OTC) forward transactions without standardization.

Tailor-made hedging (amount, date); the standard in FX hedging.

Exact fit.

Counterparty risk; no daily valuation transparency; commitment until maturity.

Reading the forward rate as a market forecast; it follows from the interest rate differential, not from an expectation.

61 · Options (call/put, basics)

The right (not the obligation) to buy (call) or sell (put) an underlying at the strike; price = intrinsic value + time value.

Hedging with limited cost (put), yield enhancement (option writing), asymmetric positions.

Defined maximum loss as a buyer; flexibility.

Time decay; volatility as a risk source of its own; as a writer, theoretically unlimited risk.

Thinking about options only through price direction; volatility and remaining maturity co-determine the price.

200 · Option pricing theory basics · 110 · Volatility (historical/implied)

62 · Option strategies (covered call, protective put, collar)

Combinations of underlying and options: covered call (holding + call sold), protective put (holding + put bought), collar (both).

Extra income on holdings, hedging, cost-reduced partial protection.

Plannable profiles; premium income.

A covered call caps the upside; put costs erode return; a collar freezes both sides.

Perceiving covered calls in strongly rising markets as "loss-free"; the opportunity costs are real.

110 · Volatility (historical/implied) · 147 · Hedging strategies (overview)

63 · Warrants

Securitized options of a bank (issuer product), mostly for retail investors; like certificates, they are notes.

Small-scale options access without a futures account.

Small denominations.

Issuer risk; spreads and implied vol set by the issuer; cost opacity.

Not benchmarking warrant prices against the exchange-traded option.

64 · Interest rate swaps (IRS)

Exchange of fixed for floating interest payments on a notional amount; the core instrument of the rates market.

Steering the fixed/floating mix, duration overlay, valuation reference (swap curve).

Deep liquidity; no capital movement.

Present value fluctuation; clearing/margin obligations (EMIR); basis risks.

Calling a swap "free"; the fixed rate contains the market's rate expectation plus a margin.

146 · Duration management & bond laddering · 90 · Policy rates & rate decisions

65 · Currency swaps (cross currency)

Exchange of principal and interest payments in two currencies; contains the cross-currency basis as a price factor of its own.

Hedging long-term funding/investment in foreign currency.

Complete FX and rate hedging.

Basis fluctuations; counterparty/collateral effort.

Estimating hedging costs from the rate differential only and forgetting the basis.

66 · Credit default swaps (CDS)

Insurance against the default of a debtor; a premium (spread) against a compensation payment in a credit event.

Hedging credit risk or taking it deliberately; a market barometer for credit quality (CDS spread).

Credit risk tradable separately.

Definition of the credit event; basis to the bond; counterparty risk.

Equating CDS spread and bond spread; the basis between them can be large and persistent.

153 · Credit risk parameters (PD, LGD, EAD) · 118 · S&P Global Ratings (AAA-D scale)

67 · Total return swaps

Exchange of an asset's total return (price + income) against a reference rate.

Synthetic exposure without ownership (e.g. in funds/certificates); financing; short sale substitute.

Access and efficiency.

Counterparty and collateral risk; opacity (Archegos 2021 as the object lesson).

Overlooking synthetic replication in products; check the KID/prospectus.

68 · Swaptions

An option to enter into an interest rate swap (payer/receiver).

Conditional rate protection (e.g. hedging against a rate rise only if needed); steering convexity.

Flexibility for a premium.

Premium decay; complexity of the vol surface.

Judging swaption premiums without looking at implied rate volatility.

69 · Caps/floors

An interest rate ceiling (cap) or floor on a reference rate for a premium; a series of interest rate options (caplets).

Capping floating rate funding; securing a minimum interest rate.

Protection while keeping the upside.

Premium costs; effect only beyond the strike.

Not converting cap costs into the effective interest rate of the funding.

70 · Structured products (construction)

A combination of an interest instrument + derivatives into a payoff profile (see certificates, topic 57); here the construction logic: zero bond + options.

Profiles made to measure (protection level, participation, coupon).

Almost any profile can be constructed.

Price of the components opaque; liquidity; issuer risk.

Buying products whose profile one cannot sketch from components oneself.

57 · Certificates (structure, issuer risk)

71 · Leverage products (knock-outs, factor)

Products with constant leverage (factor) or a barrier (knock-out: worthless when touched).

Short-term speculation/tactical trading; not an investment instrument.

High leverage on gains; little capital.

Total loss via knock-out; path dependence in factor products (sideways losses); issuer risk.

Holding factor certificates longer; the daily leveraging destroys return in sideways markets.

201 · Loss aversion & disposition effect

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